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Base patterns from IBD

Base Patterns

  • A base pattern occurs when a stock’s price falls and consolidates over a series of weeks or months.
  • Bases typically form after a prior price uptrend of at least 30%.
  • The base serves as the foundation for the stock’s later climb – sort of like the foundation of a house. If it’s not solid, it can make any levels built above it unstable.
    • A cup-with-handle base is one of the most powerful base patterns.
    • Base shape: resembles a teacup as seen from its side view.
    • Base length: lasts at least seven weeks.
    • Base depth: usually 15% to 35% but may be deeper if it forms during a bear market.
    • Base characteristics: cup preferably has a smooth “U” shape rather than a sharp “V” shape.
    • Buy Point calculation: ten cents above the peak in the handle.
    • Handle characteristics:
      • Length: five days or more
      • Depth: generally 10% to 15%
      • Should drift downward as volume dries up.
      • Should form in the upper half of the base.
  • Potential flaws in a base.
    • Racing straight up from the bottom of the base to new highs.
    • Wide and loose price swings.
    • Wedging as the handle forms.
    • Handles that form below the midpoint of the base.

Flat Base

  • Base shape: shallow and flat
  • Base length: at least five weeks
  • Base depth: no deeper than 15%;
  • Base characteristics: often occur after a stock rushes out of a previous base and stalls
  • Tend to form when the broader market is not making much upward progress
  • Buy point calculation: ten cents above the peak of the left side of the base

Double-Bottom Base

  • Base shape: resembles the letter “W”
  • Base length: at least seven weeks
  • Base depth: up to 35% but may be deeper during a bear market
  • Base characteristics:
    • The low point of the second leg of the “W” should undercut the low of the first leg of the “W”
    • The middle peak of the “W” should be lower than the high at the beginning of the base.
    • The middle peak of the “W” should also be above the mid-point of the base
  • Buy point calculation: ten cents above the middle peak of the “W”

Ascending Base

  • Base shape: series of three mild pullbacks each having a higher top and a higher low than the pullback that preceded it.
  • Base length: nine to 16 weeks
  • Base depth: each pullback should be 10% to 20% deep
  • Base characteristics: starts to form at least 20% above the stock’s previous base
  • Buy point calculation: ten cents above the peak of the third and final pullback

Saucer Base

  • Base shape: resembles a saucer
  • Base length: seven weeks to more than a year
  • Base depth: usually 12% to 20%
  • Base characteristics:  tends to have a low Relative Price Strength Rating; may form a handle
  • Buy point calculation:
    • With handle: ten cents above the peak in the handle
    • Without handle: ten cents above peak of left side of base
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